Forcasters adjust ’09 hurricane predictions

Blog » Forcasters adjust ’09 hurricane predictions

The Florida Panhandle and the rest of the Gulf coast got some good news this week, as two preeminent hurricane forecasters scaled back their already conservative prediction for the 2009 hurricane season.

William Gray and Philip Klotzbach, Colorado State University scientists, issued a revised forecast for Atlantic hurricane activity on Tuesday.

The new report calls for 10 named storms, four hurricanes, and two major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir/Simpson scale), shaded back from June’s prediction of 11, five, and two in each category, respectively. The tandem give the Gulf Coast, from the Panhandle west to Brownsville, Tex., a 26 percent chance of being hit, below the average for the last century of 30 percent.

Klotzbach and Gray give the entire U.S. coastline a 46 percent chance of a hurricane hit, compared to the 52 percent historical average.

from the Panama City News Herald – view entire article